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The Central Organization for Statistics and Information Technology in the
Ministry of Planning and Development Cooperation
Confirmation of the Employment and Unemployment survey results for the year 2008
Iraqi newspapers circulated the recent newspaper report included distrust of one
Iraqi economic expert about the proportions which released by the Central
organization for Statistics and Information Technology on the unemployment rates
in Iraq... We in the same time when appreciate such views about reports issuing
by COSIT on various aspects of life... We would like to demonstrate the
following facts regarding the results of the Employment and Unemployment survey
had been implemented in Iraq in 2008: -
First:
All works achieved by COSIT distinguished by the accuracy, credibility and high
reliability for the reason that COSIT follow the scientific statistical basis in
the implementation of all its survey, including employment and unemployment
survey, which starts from the precise scientific selection of the sample, which
must be represented society and come in close contact in reality, where the
volume of the sample reached(18144) households distributed all of Iraq's
governorates, including governorate’s centers, rural and suburbs, that is mean
the sample included all regions of the governorates, on the other hand, the
Central Organization for Statistics never release the results unless performs a
series of statistical tests on the results to be confirmed a high degree of
accuracy.
Second: This survey was carried out by a method depends for the first
time and taking into consideration the seasonal matter into measurement of
employment and unemployment, it is known that the phenomenon of employment or
unemployment are influenced significantly by seasonal for this reason the survey
was carried out on four seasons and in each season, it was recycled the sample
by 50%, this method gives larger credibility for the results.
Third: COSIT began implementation of this survey since 2003 for its
strong interest in measuring and follow-up of unemployment indicator in Iraq
because COSIT aware of importance of this indicator in the economic activity,
unemployment levels has reached for the years of 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2008,
which is respectively, 28.1%, 26.8%, 17.97%, 17.50% and 15.43%.
Fourth: There is some views regard that the unemployment rates are higher
than these rates, sometimes up to 40% and possibly more, with our appreciation
to all these views which are not accurate and not scientific based on
descriptive judgments, on the other hand, we need to know the definition of the
unemployment concept and define who is the unemployed, is the person who had no
work and looking for work and ready for working, if the person worked for one
hour a week before the implementation of the survey, he does not consider
unemployed as the concept adopted by COSIT that is an international concept
adopted by the International Labor Organization, but COSIT demonstrated
throughout the past years, the rise of under-employment rates (i.e. working at
few hours of work), as COSIT reports confirmed that rate of underemployment in
the years of 2003 - 2008 remained on the range of 30% which that represented a
form of unemployment, if the concept means any person can not find job in the
State, this is a wrong concept because of no country in the world can provide
jobs for the all unemployed in its organizations and offices, and this is what
Dr. Haidar Al-Abadi, the deputy in the Iraqi parliament on this issue and his
warning from the adoption of the State of the idea of creating employment
opportunities for all the unemployed in its establishments, , which will lead to
burden the phenomenon of hidden unemployment, which is not serve the growth and
development of the economy. In conclusion, the Central Organization for
Statistics and Information Technology expresses its thanks and appreciation to
all researchers and professionals who are follow COSIT publications and welcomes
all views.
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